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| http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/08/26/demographics_and_the_2016_election_scenarios.html |
2016 will be a lot different. I don't need to tell you the black vote will likely "normalize" with turnout and percentages. Since 1964 it has only been above 60% three times, and two of those times were...do I have to say it? Plus there's an untapped treasure trove of Black conservatives our progressive/establishment dolts haven't a clue how to attract. "Blacks, in OUR party? Oh my, what would father say!?"
Here's a very possible (and conservative) scenario in my view, as you can see we don't need the illegal vote. What we need is a few more black votes, a higher turnout and our share of the millennials which is still up for grabs thanks to BHO. Anyway, have fun and stop believing the MSM media and the Republican consultant class' bullshit about how we NEED Hispanics. We don't...at the moment. Dick around on immigration and you might consider learning spanish.
Sadly, the national popular vote tells you only something, but not everything (as you know). One needs to run scenarios in a small number of states, but within each state, to know whether the GOP has a chance. OH, FL, IA, CO, VA, NC, NH, NV, and PA (although this last is veering dangerous close to safe for Democrats in presidential years). Toss in WI if Walker is on the ticket, maybe.
ReplyDeleteIf...IF we win this next election and IF we control both houses of Congress, and I hate to say this, we need a national id card. My wife has a resident alien card (she's an Upper Voltarian, by the way NEVER trust a Lower Voltarian), a GREEN CARD and it appears to be very high tech and not easily forged. This would solve the voter id debate and to a large degree sort out the immigration issue. It has to be done.
ReplyDeleteThe privacy issue is moot. This government is already spying on us likes it's 1984 so what's the diff?