Former Texas Governor Rick Perry left the Presidential race yesterday; it just seemed that his candidacy couldn't get any traction. Two factors I think contributed to his low numbers, both of which are to some extent tied to his perception in the mainstream media. First, there was the issue of his disastrous, unprepared run in 2012. He wasn't ready, and it showed. Bill Clinton similarly beclowned himself in 1988 at the Democratic Convention, but he was a Democrat, and so his sins weren't remembered when he ran in 1992. The second contribution to Perry's downfall was the plain fact that he was from Texas. There is lingering Bush Derangement Syndrome among the cognoscenti, and so his twang, and his boots, mattered far more in their evaluation of him than did the plain fact that he was the most successful, best Governor in the union for 14 years. It is a shame that he didn't do better, but the Presidency is only partially determined on merit.
So, here's how the rest of the GOP process will go, for those interested.
Three blocs will develop. The first block is the "Outsider" bloc, made up of Fiorina, Carson, and he who shall not be named. They will fight it out among themselves to see who will be the last outsider standing in February. I believe it will be Fiorina, but you may differ.
The next bloc is the Jeb Bush bloc. That's right, he's all by himself in this one. His name, his money, and his damn good record lead me to believe that he'll continue on into the three way race once the primaries start.
Finally, there's the "Not Jeb" bloc, which is everyone else. Cruz, Rubio, Walker, and Kasich will fight it out for the third spot in the three way race that will develop. Cruz likes to think of himself in the first bloc, but he's really here--along with Rand Paul, whose failure to do better than he is reflects his ideological impurity to the libertarians, who just don't like him as much as they did his Dad.
Count everyone else out. You heard it here first.