Monday, September 15, 2008

500 Points

I think the Dow will lose 500 points today. It is going to be a high volume fire-sale.

But then I think we're about at the bottom. Bear Stearns and Lehman Bros gone, Merrill Lynch now to be owned by Bank America.

It looks like the market is taking care of overcapacity in the investment banking sector. It is ugly, it is painful, and it is both exacerbated by and a prime cause of the housing crisis.

6 comments:

Doc Milnamo said...

How much will the various exchanges let the market drop (or go up for the right reason)before they let the "circuit breakers" kick in?

The Conservative Wahoo said...

I think the Dow will intervene at 5%

Doc Milnamo said...

OK, how did you make that happen? ;-)

SamShapiro said...

Seriously, it was hovering around -280 every time I looked.

Mudge said...

Prescient. Any good tips for tomorrow?

The Conservative Wahoo said...

Sorry gang...no real sense of how things might go today; though I do think all 504 points lost yesterday will be back in the market by 1 November.

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