Sunday, March 4, 2012

Super Tuesday, Considered

Super Tuesday, which isn't as Super as it used to be based on the RNC's perhaps now regrettable plan to "lengthen" the nomination process, is this Tuesday.  I won't handicap individual states, but I will make a few general predictions.

1.  Mitt Romney will walk away with more delegates than any of his competitors.  By a wide margin.
2.  Newt Gingrich, Rick Santorum, and Mitt Romney will all win at least one state.
3.  Ohio will be won by less than 2%--by who, I know not.

What will come out of this?  Probably a continuation of the muddle, the slog.  Romney will be in a better position than now, and will remain the front runner.  Newt and Rick will have done enough, and possibly substantially enough, for their candidacies to remain viable (though I Newt's case is much thinner).  Ron Paul will emerge Tuesday substantially weaker than he is now, though he won't seem to care much.

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